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Farewill Lynch, Hamilton

It was nearly 7pm, time for one of the year’s last City Council meetings to begin, and the crowd hushed in anticipation. Four councilors sat on the dais. The fifth, Kevin Lynch, was nowhere in sight.

Mayor David Brown looked at the audience and said, "You’re all quiet, but Kevin’s not here yet." He then let a little smile play across his face. "Everyone should clap when he comes in."

Soon after, Lynch walked in to a smattering of applause.


Gone, but not soon forgotten: Kevin Lynch and Kendra Hamilton. City Council meetings are liable to be more boring without thee!

Applause for Lynch and Vice Mayor Kendra Hamilton will soon die down for good. Both are ending their terms on City Council—Monday night was their final regular meeting—to be replaced by Holly Edwards and Satyendra Huja.

Council will be the poorer for not having Hamilton and Lynch perched on its dais. Who but Lynch, we ask you, will pick apart every detail of an issue until it has somehow magically transformed into another issue? And if, by chance, someone steps into that role in the new Council, who, if not Hamilton, will shoot that person brief but exasperated glances as the monologue roles on?

Lynch will be missed for his seemingly effortless ability to spin an aphorism out of a long discussion, such as this one he whipped on Council at the end of a debate over draconian punishments for speeders: "In Saudi Arabia you can be stoned for adultery, but people still do it." To which Brown shook his head and replied, "Kevin, we’re going to miss you on Council."

That’s for sure. And Council will also miss Hamilton, who in her four years managed to steer the wonkiest of discussions back to how decisions made late on Monday nights would affect the citizenry of Charlottesville. From her seat to the left of Brown and behind her ever-present Mac laptop, Hamilton raised important questions on everything from the proposed surveillance cameras on the Downtown Mall to who will really benefit from a new YMCA.

But some might not miss the two as much as the rest of us. For example, county officials probably won’t shed too many tears at Lynch’s departure, since he was the most consistent voice to regularly point out the county’s shortcomings, especially on transportation and infrastructure issues.

And those who choose to use the public comment time at each Council meeting to lob firebombs at the councilors will probably be happy to see Hamilton go. With regularity, she was the one councilor who chose not to grin and bear misconstrued facts and out-right falsehoods embedded in accusations, who took the time allotted for councilors’ responses to straighten out the weak arguments of the poor saps.

So step up, Edwards and Huja. To stay awake during late night Council meetings, C-VILLE needs some sharp tongues to fill the void Lynch and Hamilton will leave behind.

C-VILLE welcomes news tips from readers. Send them to news@c-ville.com.

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City to comcast: Just checking in

As any Comcast cable subscriber who regularly tunes in to Channel 10 knows, city meetings can rise to the stuff of Shakespeare—except that everybody involved doesn’t die at the end. Well, get ready for more prime-time city drama. The Charlottesville City Council is looking at the possibility of televising even more of its meetings.

City Council meetings are broadcast live every first and third Monday night. Councilors recently heard a report from the city’s director of communications, Ric Barrick. The report stemmed from complaints the city received about the cable and Internet service (or lack thereof) from Comcast.

The city has an agreement with Comcast that runs until December 31, 2013. In the staff report, the city found that the number of calls to City Hall regarding service have fallen in the past two years. According to Paul Comes, a director of public affairs for Comcast, the company has spent $19 million to upgrade its system in the Charlottesville area to a one-gigahertz machine of TV entertainment, online research, and of course, pornography. Comcast says that it is the only system in the state with this much capacity.

But that didn’t keep councilors from requesting access to public complaints of service, which the contract stipulates is their right. They also expressed interest in upping public access channels to six from the three the city currently has.

And while Councilor Kendra Hamilton said she was happy with her basic Comcast package (rumor is she’s more of a reader), Kevin Lynch inquired about the possibly of creating a new package of channels for households with young children, preferably one where tots can watch the Discovery Channel in wide-eyed awe without the temptation of flipping over to VH1 to see "I Love New York" contestants spitting/cursing/choking on or at each other when they’re not rubbing up on the show’s star.

C-VILLE welcomes news tips from readers. Send them to news@c-ville.com.

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Will a "Historic" Fifeville be history?

Two years ago when she started the nomination process to list Fifeville as a National Register Historic District (NRHD), city Preservation and Design Planner Mary Joy Scala didn’t think it would turn into a controversial decision. After all, such a designation is largely symbolic: It imposes no design controls on homeowners if they don’t opt to receive tax credits. But the strong opposition from neighborhood residents is a part of a larger issue that continues to simmer below the city’s surface.

Previous coverage:

Tenants pushed out in Fifeville
Did possible historic district spark the rush?

Fifeville going before state board next month
Neighbors learn the ins and outs of national historic designation

City considers more historic districts
As area wins preservation award, can we become too historical?

With Fifeville’s location—it’s a 10-minute walk away from UVA and the Downtown Mall—residents are concerned that any kind of government designation could change the face of the neighborhood and open the door wider for gentrification. Last March, C-VILLE reported on tenants being pushed out of the neighborhood, possibly due to talk of a looming historic designation. From March 2006 to October 2007, the city has issued 14 demolition permits in Fifeville, which Scala says is many more than other neighborhoods.

While a NRHD designation doesn’t necessarily give state government any approval power over demolitions, new construction or renovations, local designations would. If the city were to make Fifeville an Architectural Design Control (ADC) district, then homeowners would have to have any renovations (and demolitions and new construction) approved by the Board of Architectural Review (BAR), a body that’s a stickler for design.

At the December 3 City Council meeting, Scala told councilors that some of the residents’ objections may have come from confusing the two types of districts: the relatively laissez faire NRHD and the more restrictive ADC. But some residents, says Scala, felt that the national designation would not only begin to price some people out of their homes, but eventually lead to local controls.

"In a sense, that’s true," says Scala. "But I felt like I was always up front about that. In our comprehensive plan, it says both districts serve a valuable community purpose. But it’s a process, and they would have plenty of opportunity to say they didn’t want a local district."
 
City Council approved Fifeville’s nomination for NRHD designation at its last meeting, a step that Scala says is unusual since local government normally has little to do with such a process. Council did amend its approval, decoupling the NRHD designation with any action that could lead to design control, a separation that existed to begin with. Two residents still spoke out against approval.


Fifeville may soon receive a national historic designation. "Any neighborhood near Downtown is undergoing gentrification," says Mary Joy Scala, preservation planner for the city. "It just happens. It has nothing to do with historic districts."

Worries about a NRHD designation ramping up gentrification aren’t unfounded. Under the designation, homeowners can receive tax credit for rehabbing houses—up to 25 percent of cost.

"One thing about the National Register, because it allows those tax credits, they’re worried about people coming in and buying a house, fixing it up, getting tax credits and flipping it," says Scala. "And I can see that happening. There were a couple of people lined up who wanted to do that."

Scala calls Fifeville a "threatened neighborhood." Its location is enough to make any developer drool, and at least two high-density projects are going up that involve tearing down older houses. Scala says she sees local design controls as a tool to slow down—if not stop—gentrification from completely changing the economic and physical landscape of the neighborhood.

"I personally think that if you have a local district in place, it slows down the flipping things," she says. "Fifeville isn’t in the National Register and it won’t be for another six months at least. But this has already been going on because of its location. Any neighborhood near Downtown is undergoing gentrification. It just happens. It has nothing to do with historic districts."

C-VILLE welcomes news tips from readers. Send them to news@c-ville.com.

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Mitchell's court date moved

The court date for the city man who was hit by an Albemarle Police car while crossing the street in his wheelchair—and then ticketed—has been moved to January 3. Gerry Mitchell appeared in Charlottesville General District Court on the morning of December 6, only to learn that the court had issued a continuance of his case.

Mitchell, a local painter, was hit while crossing W. Main Street where it intersects Fourth Street. The police car, which was turning left, hit him in the back, knocking him out of his wheelchair. He was taken to the UVA hospital, where he says city police informed him that he was being issued a ticket.


Gerry Mitchell says he was originally ticketed for failing to yield to a pedestrian. "So I failed to yield to myself," he says, "because I was the only one in the crosswalk."

That ticket, says Mitchell, was for failing to yield to a pedestrian, though he was alone in the crosswalk. (The intersection is in the city jurisdiction.)

"So I failed to yield to myself," he says, "because I was the only one in the crosswalk."
The charge, he learned when he got to court December 6, had been changed to failing to obey a pedestrian crossing signal.

His interaction with city police, Mitchell says, has been very frustrating. After he was hit, multiple officers arrived at the scene.

"I looked up and there was a sea of officers around us, eight or nine people," he says. "I couldn’t believe there was so many police there."

According to Ric Barrick, director of communications for the city, when county police are involved in incidences like traffic accidents, city police respond and the county officers are considered civilians.

When a witness to the accident tried to give Mitchell his contact information, Mitchell says that a city officer took the witness’s card away.

"He handed it to me, put it in my hand, and the police officer grabbed it out of my hand," he says. "It was like a struggle."

As he was taken to the hospital, his wheelchair was moved to the nearby grocery store, Feast. At the hospital, Mitchell says he asked the police officer how he would get home. The officer, according to Mitchell, said he would take him to Feast to pick up his wheelchair. But when Mitchell was released, the officer was not there.

"Then I got really angry," he says. "It was like ‘Godammit, they ran over me, damaged my wheelchair. I could have been killed. And they don’t have the decency to give me at least a lift.’"

Barrick declined to comment on the incident because it is still a pending legal matter. But he says if Mitchell has complaints about police treatment, he should file a formal complaint with the department. Those complaints are then investigated by the internal affairs unit of the police department.

As Mitchell awaits his January 3 court date, he is working on a show that will begin next month at Mudhouse. His right shoulder was fractured in the incident, and he is left trying to figure out how to complete the rest of the paintings for the show.

"My painting style has changed because I can hardly use my arms now," he says. "And it’s very frustrating because I had half of a show done and now I’m scrambling around, trying to figure out how I can paint because I can’t hold the brush very well. So the figures have all changed a great deal."

C-VILLE welcomes news tips from readers. Send them to news@c-ville.com.

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Powell gets two years for perjury

Previous coverage:

New charge in trailer park murder
Dead girl’s boyfriend picked up for perjury

Ronald Powell was sentenced to two years in prison on December 4 for two counts of perjury that stem from testimony he gave during the 2006 trial for the murder of his then 18-year-old girlfriend, Azlee Hickman. In that trial, Powell testified that he had been in the room when his friend William Marshall strangled Hickman, contradicting earlier testimony he had given during a preliminary hearing.

Early in the morning of March 13, 2004, Hickman was found dead from asphyxiation in the Carlton Avenue trailer that she shared with Powell, laying just feet from her sleeping infant daughter. Charlottesville Commonwealth’s Attorney Dave Chapman argued that Marshall, who had been out drinking that night with Powell in violation of an earlier probation, killed Hickman when she threatened to report Marshall.

Powell and his then-teenage daughter, Heather, testified against Marshall, whose DNA was found under Hickman’s fingernails. But Chapman struggled with unreliable witnesses. After the 12-person jury split with five wanting to convict Marshall, Judge Edward Hogshire declared a mistrial.

Chapman decided after the mistrial that he couldn’t prove the case beyond a reasonable doubt, due in large part to the unreliable testimony of all the material witnesses. Instead of retrying Marshall, in 2006 Chapman reached a plea bargain with the defendant in which Marshall pleaded guilty to accessory. The deal, for which Marshall got 12 months on the misdemeanor charge, meant that prosecutors could not try Marshall for Hickman’s murder.

Chapman says now that he believes Marshall was the killer.

"We believe that we put on trial the person who killed Azlee Hickman," he says. "But we’ve come to acknowledge that we’re not able to prove that beyond a reasonable doubt."

Powell is no longer a suspect in the killing. Chapman says no further charges will likely come out of the case.

"I don’t know of any that we could seek," he says.

The biggest obstacle to getting a murder conviction, according to Chapman, was the unreliable testimony of Ronald and Heather Powell and Marshall himself. When police arrested them, he says, they gave no "obvious and clear" information that would have lead police to "start the investigation down a path that would have led to a better result," Chapman says.

C-VILLE welcomes news tips from readers. Send them to news@c-ville.com.

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Mall Cameras move forward …barely

After the December 3 City Council meeting, Charlottesville Chief of Police Tim Longo stood outside the chamber talking to a woman who expressed her support for Longo’s plan to install closed circuit TV cameras on and around the Downtown Mall. Minutes before, it appeared that councilors were close to killing that plan, which would cost roughly $300,000. But a last-minute revision to the system, proposed by Councilor Kevin Lynch, kept it alive, albeit in a different form.


"The outcome was better than what looked like was going to come out of the meeting [on Mall security cameras]," says Police Chief Tim Longo.

Previous coverage:

They see you, but can you see them?
Surveillance camera policy raises questions of access, oversight

Police use video in investigations
Seek O.K. from property owners to install cameras

Of cameras and cannabis
$300K for Mall surveillance goes to bid

Looking into Baltimore, London cameras
As city considers Mall cameras, data inconclusive on effectiveness

Longo discusses cameras on the Mall
Downtown Mall to become an even better spot to “see and be seen”

Councilors voted 4-1 to let Longo request bids for a camera system that, unlike the original, does not feed into a centralized system. Instead, Council approved a plan for individual cameras that could be moved between different locations as their use dictated. Mayor David Brown was the only councilor to vote against the revised plan.

Longo calls the plan "something I can work with."

"The outcome was better than what looked like was going to come out of the meeting," says Longo. "We can go to venders and say, ‘Here’s our limitations,’ and see what they can fit into that."

Longo says that the major disadvantage for the police of such a system is its inefficiency. Instead of going to a central location to retrieve data from a certain camera, police would have to access each camera individually—sometimes via ladder.

Despite vocal support from the public—many of them Mall business owners, some of whom painted a questionably bleak picture of a crime-ridden Downtown—councilors first appeared ready to deny Longo’s proposal to install 30 high-resolution cameras with the ability to zoom, pan and tilt on and around the Mall.

Dave Norris, who would go on to second the motion to approve the revised plan, questioned whether businesses could install their own cameras for safety. In fact, Longo pointed out that Virginia National Bank (VNB), which has a branch on the Mall, offered to pay for its own camera.

"When we heard that the city might be entertaining a project of some cameras for the outside Mall," says VNB President Glenn Rust, "we said if they needed a camera by our area, we would gladly donate it to the city."

Norris also asked Longo to address the question of a surveillance slippery slope. What’s to keep the city, he asked, from eventually putting cameras in all of its neighborhoods? Though Lynch sided with the use of cameras, he agreed with Norris that centralizing data goes down that slippery slope.

"I see too many problems with bringing all [data] into one place," he said.

Councilors apparently were more comfortable with the decentralized system that Lynch suggested, though Brown voted against the plan.

"I’m just personally uneasy with public surveillance," he says. "It’s not something that makes me feel comfortable moving forward with. I don’t want to see the United States become sort of a Britain, where there are cameras everywhere. Because I don’t see any clear benefit, I don’t really want to move forward with it."

C-VILLE welcomes news tips from readers. Send them to news@c-ville.com.

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Officials get crack at Practice disaster

As officials from the state, city, county, UVA and FEMA sat at tables in fleeces and jackets, munching on potato chips, a woman stood up and said, "Today is May 15. The event has already happened." Behind was a screen with the words "Flood 2007 Table Top Exercise" projected across it.

Previous coverage:

When hypothetical disaster strikes
Flood scenario tests local officials’ ability to respond

The event in question wasn’t your typical disaster: Woolen Mills had been flooded, a dam had burst, a propane tanker had hit Free Bridge and exploded. Reports of a tornado touching down at UVA had yet to be confirmed. But then the situation grew grim: UVA’s graduation was scheduled for that week. Roughly 30,000 extra people were in town.

The event itself was purely hypothetical, an exercise of the Charlottesville Area Emergency Preparedness Initiative. And anyhow, the area emergency operation center had already handled the response operations back in May (the actual month of May, not the disastrous, hypothetical month currently in front of officials).

"Our response is over, and now we’re in to the recovery mode," said Marge Thomas, the area’s Emergency Management Coordinator, as she stood outside the room in UVA’s Zehmer Hall where area officials were taking their lunch breaks. "It’s like what’s going on still in Louisiana, Mississippi and Texas. They’re still recovering, and it’s very expensive."

The room was dotted with officials from various area agencies: police departments, city managers, city parks, UVA facilities management and the Rivanna Water and Sewer Authority. They were being briefed on the aftermath of the hypothetical storm.

There was good news: No loss of life was reported from the flooding. But hospitals were reporting injuries due to everyday clean up and citizens were still boiling water.

Officials were presented with two different situations to work with, one that occurs five days after the storm, another that looks at the area after 10 days. According to Thomas, officials must deal with issues such as sheltering those without housing, cleaning up debris from the flood and assessing property damage. In looking at a disaster like this before it happens, area officials hope to find and fix potential problems before they discover them during a disaster.

The exercise is to "identify areas where we can work together to mitigate hazards and things that don’t work well," says Marge Sidebottom, UVA’s emergency preparedness director. "I’ll also be looking to see what impact this has with other communities we work with fairly regularly, like Martha Jefferson [Hospital]. I’m not sure how this would impact them and what that would do with the health system in terms of response."

As the briefing went on, the next slide looked at the media situation. One problem that officials were having—hypothetically, mind you—was "some issues with creating news" as the media ran emotional stories that put extra pressure on officials.

Roughly two minutes after that slide, the reporters in the room—the real media—were told that their time observing the program was up.

C-VILLE welcomes news tips from readers. Send them to news@c-ville.com.

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Washington gets four life terms [Updated December 11]

Nathan Antonio Washington walked into the Charlottesville Circuit Court just after 1:30pm, his steps shortened by his shackles. Wearing a gray suit offset by a radiant green tie, he signed the documents of his guilty plea that will put him in prison for the rest of his life. When it came time to confess to the sexual assaults, Washington pauses a second or two, swallows, quietly says, "Guilty" and thereby officially ends the 10-year case of the serial rapist.


Cops took DNA from a Burger King cup to genetically link Washington to the serial rape cases.

Previous coverage:

Serial rape suspect linked to a third attack
DNA match made to 1997 Waynesboro motel assault

Grand jury indicts Washington
City expects to request additional charges in other area attacks

Rapist suspect tried in the media
Washington linked to serial rapes in varying degrees of guilt

County man arrested in two sexual attacks
Local media offer conflicting reports, link arrest to serial rapist

On December 10, Washington, a husband and father of four, pleaded guilty to four sexual assaults in the City of Charlottesville and to a breaking and entering charge in Albemarle County. Under the plea agreement, Washington will be sentenced to four consecutive life terms in prison, with an additional 20-year term for the charge in the county.

The hearing effectively brought the case of the serial rapist to a close. Washington has been connected to seven sexual assaults—most marked by his brutal violence to his victims. Four assaults occurred in the city, two in the county and one—the first—in Waynesboro. From his first attack in 1997, Washington was able to evade investigators for over 10 years.

Charlottesville Commonwealth’s Attorney Dave Chapman called today’s proceedings "a step along the way toward a completion to a decade worth of fear in the community. Final sentencing will be an end to the formal legal proceedings, but it’s not an end to the trauma that the victims have suffered in these cases."

One of those victims proved essential in solving the case. The Albemarle County woman who Washington sexually assaulted in 2004 recognized him at Harris Teeter, where Washington worked at the time. She was able to get his license plate number, which led area police to set up undercover surveillance on Washington.

On August 1, 2007, Lisa Reeves, a member of the serial rapist task force, followed Washington into the Barracks Road Burger King. There she watched Washington eat lunch, a meal that included a small orange soda. Reeves looked around and noted that the other customers were all drinking from medium cups that featured characters from The Simpsons movie that opened a few days earlier.

After Washington threw away his cup, Reeves was able to pick it out of the trash, certain that the small cup, sans "Simpsons" characters, was his. The preliminary DNA that police obtained from the cup matched that of the serial rapist’s.

Twelve days later, police arrested Washington at his Albemarle County home. On August 16, police publicly confirmed that they had matched his DNA with two of the seven attacks.

After the hearing, Washington’s attorney, Rhonda Quagliana, read a prepared statement. "Today," she said, "Nathan Washington publicly accepted responsibility for the harm he has inflicted on the individual victims of these crimes and this community." She went on to say: "Mr. Washington is not asking for forgiveness, though he hopes his decision to plead guilty to all charges will allow the process of healing to begin."

Chapman says the impetus for the plea agreement came as much from Washington himself as from anyone.

"The offer of pleading guilty to four consecutive life sentences was first brought forth by him," Chapman says. "He wants to get these matters behind him. He wants to take responsibility for his behavior and has done so emphatically with his pleas here today."

As part of his plea agreement, Washington will give police any information about other assaults of the same or lesser magnitude. The sentencing hearing for Washington is set for February 26. Under the terms of the plea agreement, the court must impose the agreed upon sentence, four life terms plus 20 years.

C-VILLE welcomes news tips from readers. Send them to news@c-ville.com.

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Mitchell's court date moved [December 6]

The court date for the city man who was hit by an Albemarle Police car while crossing the street in his wheelchair—and then ticketed—has been moved to January 3. Gerry Mitchell appeared in Charlottesville General District Court on the morning of December 6, only to learn that the court had issued a continuance of his case.


Gerry Mitchell is recuperating from injuries he suffered after an Albemarle County police car hit him while crossing W. Main Street. Mitchell, who uses a wheelchair, was then ticketed by city police for failing to obey a pedestrian crossing signal.

Mitchell, a local painter, was hit while crossing W. Main Street where it intersects Fourth Street. The police car, which was turning left, hit him in the back, knocking him out of his wheelchair. He would taken to the UVA hospital, where he says city police informed him that he was being issued a ticket. (The intersection is in the city jurisdiction.)

That ticket, says Mitchell, was for failing to yield to a pedestrian, though he was alone in the crosswalk.

"So I failed to yield to myself," he says, "because I was the only one in the crosswalk."

The charge, he learned when he got to court December 6, had been changed to failing to obey a pedestrian crossing signal.

His interaction with city police, Mitchell says, has been very frustrating. After he was hit, multiple officers arrived at the scene.

"I looked up and there was a sea of officers around us, eight or nine people," he says. "I couldn’t believe there was so many police there."

According to Ric Barrick, director of communications for the city, when county police are involved in incidences like traffic accidents, city police respond and the county officers are considered civilians.

When a witness to the accident tried to give Mitchell his contact information, Mitchell says that a city officer took the witness’s card away.

"He handed it to me, put it in my hand. and the police officer grabbed it out of my hand," he says. "It was like a struggle."

As he was taken to the hospital, his wheelchair was moved to the nearby grocery store, Feast. At the hospital, Mitchell says he asked the police officer how he would get home. The officer, according to Mitchell, said he was take him to Feast to pick up his wheelchair. But when Mitchell was released, the officer was not there.

"Then I got really angry," he says. "It was like ‘Godammit, they ran over me, damaged my wheelchair. I could have been killed. And they don’t have the decency to give me at least a lift.’"

Barrick declined to comment on the incident because it is still a pending legal matter. But he says if Mitchell has complaints about police treatment, he should file a formal complaint with the department. Those complaints are then investigated by the internal affairs unit of the police department.

As Mitchell awaits his January 3 court date, he is working on a show that will begin next month at Mudhouse. His right shoulder was fractured in the incident, and he is left trying to figure out how to complete the rest of the paintings for the show.

"My painting style has changed because I can hardly use my arms now," he says. "And it’s very frustrating because I had half of a show done and now I’m scrambling around, trying to figure out how I can paint because I can’t hold the brush very well. So the figures have all changed a great deal."

C-VILLE welcomes news tips from readers. Send them to news@c-ville.com.

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Energy expert warns about peak oil

As you’re hopping into your car, gearing up for the holidays, driving every which way to pick out shiny gifts, think about this: According to Robert Hirsch, a past senior energy program advisor for world oil production with Science Application International Corporations, the one resource that provides all those things could soon be in dangerously short supply.

Hirsch delivered a lecture at the UVA School of Engineering and Applied Science about the bleak prospect of "peak oil," the tipping point where the worldwide production of oil starts to fall short of world demand. From that point forward, said Hirsch, the entire world (not to mention all of its economies) is in for some serious trouble.

In the model that Hirsch presented to a roomful of UVA graduate students and professors, once oil production peaks, shortages will increase around the world. These shortages will drive prices up.

According to economists, this wouldn’t be such a huge problem. Using a purely economic model, such a shortage in supply and unusually high prices are nearly always negated by a surplus introduced into a market starved for product. One little problem, said Hirsch. Oil is a finite resource, and there won’t be any of it to put into the market to restore balance.

"Many economists," said Hirsch, "just don’t get it."

Opponents of peak oil write it off as a theory. To do so is misguided, said Hirsch.

He pointed out that while transportation gets a large share of attention when it comes to oil use, 99 percent of all lubricants depend on oil, as do 95 percent of all goods in stores and 99 percent of all food production.

"Peak oil is not a ‘theory,’" he said. "This is an actuality. We’ve been using much more than we’ve been adding in the way of reserves."

Predictions of when oil will peak vary widely. The International Energy Agency (IEA) forecasts that oil production will peak after 2030—one of the most conservative estimates. T. Boone Pickens, who at one time ran the U.S.’s largest independent oil company, has said that oil had already peaked two years ago.

Colin Campbell and Chris Skrebrowski of the federal Energy Information Administration (EIA) claim that spare oil production capacity will disappear around 2010-2012, Hirsch said.

So, we’re all dead, or if not dead, then running around in a postapocalyptic world with hunting knifes in our teeth looking for rusting cans of corn, right? Well, maybe not, said Hirsch.

He is advocating "crash programs" such as those used by the country during World War II to mitigate the effects of worldwide oil shortages. These include increasing fuel efficiency, using more unconventional (or "heavy") oil, moving forward with gas-to-liquid fuel technology and using enhanced oil recovery methods such as steam.

Hirsch said he sees such mitigation as a sort of temporary bridge to a more sustainable fuel in the future. As it stands now, that future is bleak according to those looking at the peak of oil production. The IEA has said that "we are on a course for an energy system that will evolve from crisis to crisis."

As far as finding a solution, Hirsh said, "we may be too late."

C-VILLE welcomes news tips from readers. Send them to news@c-ville.com.